February 2, 2023

The Ravens put up a dismal efficiency in a 13-3 loss to the Cleveland Browns and are nonetheless awaiting the return of quarterback Lamar Jackson. The Falcons have misplaced 5 out of six however one way or the other proceed to problem for the NFC South title. Which staff could have the benefit on Christmas Eve?

Ravens Walkthrough vs Falcons Walkthrough Protection

“It isn’t adequate passing throughout the board proper now,” Ravens coach John Harbaugh stated after his staff threw for 138 yards and scored three factors in opposition to the Browns. That is all. The Ravens have been ranked twenty ninth within the Soccer Outsiders DVOA since final week and have thrown underneath 200 yards in 5 of their final six video games. None of their extensive receivers have caught a landing since Week 3, and tight finish Mark Andrews, their prime cross catcher, hasn’t caught a landing since Week 6. They rank twenty eighth within the league in landing proportion from the purple zone. The Ravens had hoped franchise quarterback Lamar Jackson would play in opposition to the Falcons, however he did not follow Tuesday or Wednesday, casting doubt on his availability. Not that their aerial assault was buzzing earlier than Jackson injured his knee. DeMarcus Robinson (44 photographs on 62 targets, 419 yards) was a comparatively shiny spot within the receiving physique, however the Ravens are asking for him to be number one when the plan for the beginning of the season was for him to be number one. 3. They misplaced one other beginning underdog, Devin DuVernay, to a leg harm, changing him with Sammy Watkins, who caught 27 passes for them for 394 yards in 13 video games final season. Though Harbaugh has expressed religion in Jackson’s understudy, Tyler Huntley, for the reason that loss in Cleveland, Huntley has solely averaged 5.6 yards per try with no landing and two interceptions this season. On Wednesday, he was restricted from coaching as a consequence of a throwing shoulder harm. Undrafted rookie Anthony Brown would have been another choice on Saturday if Jackson was out.

The constructive for the Ravens is that they may attempt to deal with the cross protection, which is ranked twenty ninth within the DVOA. The Falcons are thirtieth in third loss protection and twenty second in purple zone protection. They’re ranked final by way of stress on luggage and second to final by way of the variety of luggage. Defensive sort out Grady Jarrett is their most prolific cross rusher and Darren Corridor their greatest cornerback, however Ravens fan-familiar coordinator Dean Peace does not work with nice star energy.

EDGE: Even

Falcons passing play vs. Ravens cross protection

Rookie quarterback Desmond Ridder did not make a very good impression in his first NFL begin in opposition to the New Orleans Saints, finishing 13 of 26 passes for 97 yards. Atlanta’s passing sport was one of many worst within the league underneath earlier starter Marcus Mariota, so Ridder’s troubles weren’t a shock. The Falcons misplaced their most dynamic cross catcher when second-year tight finish Kyle Pitts went to injured reserve. A shiny spot amongst their extensive receivers is 6’5″ rookie Drake London. He was Ridder’s solely scoring goal within the New Orleans loss with seven 70-yard catches. The Falcons want to raised defend their rookie quarterback who ate 4 sacks in opposition to the Saints.

The Ravens will play Atlanta with out beginning quarterback Marcus Peters, who injured his calf in opposition to the Browns. But when they needed to decide an opponent to face Brandon Stevens at cornerback, it might in all probability be the Falcons. The Ravens are eighth in DVOA passing, fifth in sacking, third in dashing, and third in third-loss protection. Cornerback Marlon Humphrey has performed at Professional Bowl stage, defenseman Marcus Williams hasn’t missed a success in two video games since coming back from a wrist harm, and nickel rookie defenseman Kyle Hamilton has established himself as a jack-of-all-trades. When it comes to passing, the Ravens will miss defenseman Calais Campbell if he’s suspended as a consequence of a knee harm he sustained in opposition to Cleveland. Outdoors linebacker Justin Houston nonetheless leads the staff with 9 sacks however hasn’t scored any in his final 4 video games.

EDGE: Crows

Ravens operating sport vs Falcons protection

J. Ok. Dobbins (13 carries, 125 yards) and Gus Edwards (7 carries, 55 yards) have been the offensive stars in Cleveland, racking up six double-figure runs between them. Dobbins has criticized himself for not ending his lengthy runs every of the previous two weeks, however he has rebuilt the staff’s explosive runners that can solely get higher when Jackson, the Ravens’ lead rusher, returns. Offensive coordinator Greg Roman does not title what number of runs the quarterback has deliberate with Huntley within the lineup. One other spotlight on a uninteresting offensive day was the Ravens’ beginning line, which spent the whole sport in Cleveland.

Atlanta defends the cross higher than the cross, however that does not imply it is their forte. The Falcons are twenty sixth within the Rush DVOA and have misplaced a mean of 171 yards over the previous 5 video games. Midfielder Rashaan Evans is their greatest participant within the middle and Ta’Quon Graham is their greatest inside again.

EDGE: Crows

Falcons run sport vs Ravens run protection

It is power in opposition to power. The Falcons are third in dashing, third in rush makes an attempt, and fourth in yards per try with an offense that, just like the Ravens, contains a number of defensemen and is designed for the quarterback. They did not lose a step with Ridder on the helm as they ran for 231 yards in opposition to the Saints, led by Tyler Algeier, who scored 139 on 17 carries. Cordarrell Patterson was equally productive, averaging 5.1 yards per carry and main the Falcons with six dashing touchdowns. Ridder carried six instances for 38 yards in opposition to New Orleans, so the Ravens should regulate him. Proper again Chris Lindstrom and proper sort out Caleb McGary clear the way in which for a lot of that manufacturing.

Within the meantime, the Ravens stopped the run higher than another staff within the league as they traded linebacker Rokuan Smith. Smith and Patrick Quinn are the primary playmakers, however Campbell, Justin Madubuke and Broderick Washington hold the blockers up entrance and Hamilton strikes from a nickel spot. Brent City performed effectively instead of Campbell in opposition to the Browns and is prone to get extra snaps if the veteran star comes out in opposition to Atlanta.

EDGE: Even

Particular Group Ravens vs Particular Group Falcons

The Ravens placed on a uncommon pungent particular groups sport in opposition to the Browns and misplaced their prime spot within the DVOA. Justin Tucker missed for 48 yards and had his 50-yard attempt blocked in Cleveland, dropping his season proportion to .853, the second-worst of his profession. They might want to discover new starters and flat-bottomed gamers, and Duvernay, who has struggled of late, has been out of at the least 4 video games.

The Falcons are ranked seventh on the DVOA particular groups. Avery Williams is a first-class punt returner, and Patterson returned a kickoff for 103 yards for a landing in Week 11. Kicker Youngho Koo made 24 of 29 area objective makes an attempt, with 4 of his 5 misses coming from 50 yards or extra.

EDGE: Crows

Ravens Intangibles vs. Falcons Intangibles

Not one of the groups completed the fifteenth week in a very good temper. The Ravens have performed their worst all-round sport of the season, and their passing and purple zone issues have plagued them for weeks now. Jackson’s return offers them one thing to stay up for they usually may clinch a playoff berth this weekend, however they know they will not get far within the postseason if they can not repair their offense.

The Falcons have misplaced three video games in a row and 5 of six, they usually’ll be bringing a rookie quarterback to Baltimore to tackle one of many league’s meanest defensemen. They’re 1-6 on the highway. However they’ve one thing to play for, provided that they’re solely a sport behind the Tampa Bay Buccaneers within the horrible NFC South.

EDGE: Crows

Forecast

The Ravens want at the least another win to safe their place within the playoffs, they usually’ll profit from a positive matchup in opposition to a falling opponent who does not throw the ball higher than them. We are going to see numerous operating on this one, with a far superior protection to place the Ravens by way of. Ravens 16, Falcons 13

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